Bringing clarity to attainable housing
development

At Alpha Deal, we believe that tackling the housing shortage requires better context and better tooling, from the top down and the bottom up. We're building the first truly intelligent platform to support the next generation of housing developers at the most granular level.

Have a current project? Get a complimentary LIHTC feasibility assessment.

The Challenge

The current attainable housing system is full of enough challenges. Understanding if a deal pencils shouldn't be one of them.

70% of viable attainable housing sites never get properly evaluated — not because they're bad deals, but because it takes too long to figure out if they're worth pursuing.

of viable sites never properly evaluated

70%

Not because they're bad deals, but because it takes too long to figure out if they're worth pursuing.

The Solution

A real deal. A real site. A real decision.

Alpha Deal uses real-time data to give developers clarity on feasibility at a fraction of the cost and time of traditional analysis.

1234 Main Street, Los Angeles, CA

What can this site hold?

Zoning: R3-1

Lot size: 14,500sf

Building footprint: 7480sf

23

1-BR

18

2-BR

14

3-BR

54%

WTD. AMI

Y1 Proforma

Gross potential rent$957K $17.4K/unit
Effective gross income$909K $16.5K/unit
Opex and reserves$502k $9K/unit
Net operating income$408K $7.4K/unit

Entitlement: By right

TOC Tier 3 + State Density Bonus unlocks 55 units at 8 stories

What are the financials?

Sources

LIHTC Equity ($0.90 pricing)$25.5M 72.8%
Permanent Debt$8.43M 24.1%
Deferred Developer Fee$1.08M 3.1%
Total$35.0M $340K/unit

Uses

Hard Costs$26.2M $340/SF
Soft Costs$2.6M 10.7% of HC
Developer Fee$4.3M 15%
Total$35.0M $425K/unit

Eligible Basis: $32.5M

Credit Path: 9% LIHTC — $2.55M over 10y, <2% of available credits

Is it competitive?

Position

95 pts

Strong

LA Metro pool typically awards at 90–93

Drivers

  • Large family housing (max pts)
  • High resource area
  • Site readiness

Risk: GP experience — experienced development partner needed

Pursue 9% competitive path — no need for 4% fallback

Does it pencil?

Debt Coverage

1.20x DSCR

Meets minimum but tight · lenders stress-test to 1.25x+

Cash Equity Required

$0

No gap financing required

Financial Buffer

0.5% surplus

Conservative underwriting — $340/SF hard cost critical to viability

The Decision

Proceed

Supporting

  • Owned land — $0 basis eliminates acquisition risk
  • Capital stack closes with no gap financing at $0.88
  • 95 pts — 2+ points above LA Metro award threshold
  • TOC Tier 3 unlocks 55 units by-right

Conditions to resolve

  • Secure experienced GP partner before TCAC submission
  • 1.20x DSCR is tight — confirm lender comfort or adjust basis
  • $340/SF hard cost assumption critical — get GC pricing early

Why Alpha Deal

Why we believe there's a better way
to underwrite affordable housing

48 hrs
Avg. time to feasibility

vs. weeks of manual underwriting

3 in 5
Sites show LIHTC viability

among deals initially passed on

$1.8M
Avg. credits identified

per viable site analyzed

We'd passed on this site twice. Alpha Deal ran the 9% scoring and found we were sitting on $2.8M in credits. It's now our lead project this cycle.
Director of Acquisitions, Bay Area Nonprofit Developer
The competitive scoring breakdown is what sold me. We went into our 9% application knowing exactly where we stood — and we won the allocation.
Principal, Southern California Affordable Housing Fund

Our Vision

We believe in a better way to build

Our company is for those who build in diverse community engagement. Our mission is to enable developers to make informed decisions by democratizing real estate intelligence.

    LIHTC Analysis for Affordable Housing Developers